1
34%
Home Win
2.93
X
24%
Draw
4.13
2
42%
Away Win
2.4
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
1.58
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motor Lublin an expected 1.4 goals and GKS Katowice an expected 1.6 goals. Motor Lublin have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and GKS Katowice at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:2
8.8%
0:1
7.9%
2:1
7.9%
1:0
7.1%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
6.3%
0:0
5%
2:0
5%
1:3
4.7%
3:1
3.7%
0:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GKS Katowice Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Motor Lublin | GKS Katowice | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 5 |
| 43 | Points | 50 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Motor Lublin at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
GKS Katowice Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Motor Lublin
L
L
L
GKS Katowice
L
D
D
