1
48%
Home Win
2.06
X
22%
Draw
4.52
2
29%
Away Win
3.4
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 1.9 goals and FC Juarez an expected 1.5 goals. Monterrey have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and FC Juarez at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.5%
2:1
9.2%
1:2
7%
2:2
6.7%
1:0
6.5%
2:0
6.3%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5%
3:2
4.3%
3:0
4%
0:2
3.6%
0:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | FC Juarez | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 12 |
| 18 | Points | 19 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
FC Juarez Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
W
W
L
W
FC Juarez
L
L
L
