1
24%
Home Win
4.25
X
24%
Draw
4.23
2
53%
Away Win
1.89
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.74
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 1.1 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.7 goals. Monterrey have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cruz Azul at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
0:1
10.4%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
9%
1:0
6.4%
2:1
6.1%
0:0
6%
1:3
5.7%
2:2
5.3%
0:3
5.2%
2:0
3.5%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 18 | Points | 33 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
D
W
W
L
W
Cruz Azul
W
W
D
