1
44%
Home Win
2.28
X
24%
Draw
4.13
2
32%
Away Win
3.14
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 1.6 goals and Atletico San Luis an expected 1.3 goals. Monterrey have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Atletico San Luis at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
2:1
9.1%
1:0
8.3%
1:2
7.6%
0:1
6.9%
2:0
6.7%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.1%
3:1
4.9%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 14 |
| 18 | Points | 18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Atletico San Luis Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
W
W
L
W
Atletico San Luis
L
W
