1
49%
Home Win
2.05
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
27%
Away Win
3.77
xG Home
1.63
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Millwall an expected 1.6 goals and Wrexham an expected 1.1 goals. Millwall have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Wrexham at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
10.3%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.4%
0:1
7.1%
1:2
6.6%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.4%
3:1
5.2%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Millwall | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 7 |
| 83 | Points | 71 |
| 52% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Millwall at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Wrexham Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Millwall
L
W
W
W
Wrexham
L
W
