1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
24%
Draw
4.11
2
27%
Away Win
3.77
xG Home
1.66
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Millwall an expected 1.7 goals and Hull City an expected 1.2 goals. Millwall have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Hull City at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.3%
0:1
7%
1:2
6.6%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
5.3%
3:0
4.6%
0:2
4%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Millwall | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 83 | Points | 73 |
| 52% | Win % | 46% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
Venue Form
Millwall at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Hull City Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Millwall
W
L
W
W
W
Hull City
W
L
D
