1
58%
Home Win
1.71
X
24%
Draw
4.09
2
17%
Away Win
5.83
xG Home
1.64
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Middlesbrough an expected 1.6 goals and West Brom an expected 0.8 goals. Middlesbrough have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and West Brom at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.9%
2:0
12.2%
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
9.1%
0:1
6.9%
3:0
6.7%
3:1
5%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.5%
4:0
2.7%
0:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Middlesbrough Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Middlesbrough | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 21 |
| 80 | Points | 51 |
| 48% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Middlesbrough at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
West Brom Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Middlesbrough
D
W
W
D
West Brom
L
W
D
