1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
24%
Away Win
4.2
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Middlesbrough an expected 1.6 goals and Norwich City an expected 1.0 goals. Middlesbrough have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Norwich City at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12%
1:1
12%
2:0
9.5%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
7.6%
0:1
7.6%
1:2
6%
3:0
5%
3:1
5%
2:2
4.7%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Middlesbrough Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Middlesbrough | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 9 |
| 80 | Points | 65 |
| 48% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Middlesbrough at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Norwich City Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Middlesbrough
D
W
W
D
Norwich City
W
L
W
D
