1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 1.9 goals and BK Häcken an expected 1.0 goals. Malmö FF have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and BK Häcken at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:0
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.9%
3:1
6.4%
3:0
6.4%
0:1
5.3%
0:0
5.3%
1:2
5.1%
2:2
5%
3:2
3.2%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Malmö FF | BK Häcken | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 10 |
| 49 | Points | 35 |
| 43% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Malmö FF at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
BK Häcken Away
W2
D3
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Malmö FF
W
D
W
W
L
BK Häcken
W
D
W
L
D