Malmö FF vs BK Häcken Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Allsvenskan
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.94
xG Away 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 1.9 goals and BK Häcken an expected 1.0 goals. Malmö FF have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and BK Häcken at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.3%
1:0 10.2%
2:1 9.9%
2:0 9.9%
3:1 6.4%
3:0 6.4%
0:1 5.3%
0:0 5.3%
1:2 5.1%
2:2 5%
3:2 3.2%
4:1 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Malmö FF Win
Probability 59%
Predicted Odds 1.69
Market Odds 1.8

Team Comparison

Malmö FF BK Häcken
6 League Position 10
49 Points 35
43% Win % 30%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Malmö FF at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
BK Häcken Away
W2 D3 L1 (6 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Malmö FF
W D W W L
BK Häcken
W D W L D