1
44%
Home Win
2.28
X
28%
Draw
3.53
2
28%
Away Win
3.61
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 1.3 goals and AIK Stockholm an expected 1.0 goals. Malmö FF have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and AIK Stockholm at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
10.7%
0:1
10.2%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.7%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Malmö FF | AIK Stockholm | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 49 | Points | 48 |
| 43% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Malmö FF at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
AIK Stockholm Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Malmö FF
W
W
L
L
AIK Stockholm
D
W
W
D
L
