1
23%
Home Win
4.31
X
22%
Draw
4.56
2
55%
Away Win
1.82
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.95
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mallorca an expected 1.2 goals and Villarreal an expected 2.0 goals. Mallorca have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Villarreal at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
1:2
9.8%
0:1
8.3%
0:2
8.1%
1:3
6.4%
2:1
6%
2:2
5.9%
0:3
5.3%
1:0
5.1%
0:0
4.3%
2:3
3.8%
1:4
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Villarreal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Mallorca | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 3 |
| 42 | Points | 72 |
| 29% | Win % | 58% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Mallorca at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Villarreal Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Mallorca
D
D
Villarreal
D
D
Head to Head
Mallorca
1 : 1
Villarreal
D
Villarreal
2 : 1
Mallorca
L
Villarreal
4 : 0
Mallorca
L
