Mallorca vs Oviedo Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · La Liga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.57
xG Away 0.71
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Mallorca an expected 1.6 goals and Oviedo an expected 0.7 goals. Mallorca have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Oviedo at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.2%
2:0 12.6%
1:1 11.4%
0:0 10.3%
2:1 8.9%
0:1 7.3%
3:0 6.6%
3:1 4.7%
1:2 4%
2:2 3.1%
4:0 2.6%
0:2 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Mallorca Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Mallorca Oviedo
18 League Position 20
42 Points 29
29% Win % 16%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58

Venue Form

Mallorca at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Oviedo Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Mallorca
D D
Oviedo
L L

Head to Head

05 Dec 2025 La Liga
Oviedo 0 : 0 Mallorca
D
20 Mar 2021 Segunda División
Mallorca 0 : 0 Oviedo
D
03 Jan 2021 Segunda División
Oviedo 2 : 2 Mallorca
D