Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.70
xG Away 1.62
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Makhachkala an expected 0.7 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.6 goals. Makhachkala have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15.9%
0:2 12.9%
1:1 11.1%
0:0 9.8%
1:2 9%
0:3 7%
1:0 6.9%
1:3 4.9%
2:1 3.9%
2:2 3.2%
0:4 2.8%
2:0 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Makhachkala Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

Makhachkala Lokomotiv Moscow
14 League Position 3
26 Points 53
17% Win % 47%
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

Makhachkala at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Lokomotiv Moscow Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Makhachkala
W
Lokomotiv Moscow
W

Head to Head

12 Apr 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv 1 : 1 Dinamo Makhachkala
D
20 Sep 2025 Premier League
Dinamo Makhachkala 1 : 1 Lokomotiv
D
11 Mar 2025 Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1 : 2 Lokomotiv
W