1
16%
Home Win
6.27
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
59%
Away Win
1.68
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
1.62
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Makhachkala an expected 0.7 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.6 goals. Makhachkala have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.9%
0:2
12.9%
1:1
11.1%
0:0
9.8%
1:2
9%
0:3
7%
1:0
6.9%
1:3
4.9%
2:1
3.9%
2:2
3.2%
0:4
2.8%
2:0
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Makhachkala | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 26 | Points | 53 |
| 17% | Win % | 47% |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
