1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Machida Zelvia an expected 1.2 goals and Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.7 goals. Machida Zelvia have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Avispa Fukuoka at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
11.1%
0:1
10.1%
2:1
7.7%
3:0
4.6%
1:2
4.3%
0:2
3.5%
3:1
3.2%
2:2
2.7%
4:0
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Machida Zelvia | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 60 | Points | 48 |
| 45% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Machida Zelvia at Home
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Avispa Fukuoka Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia
L
D
W
W
D
Avispa Fukuoka
L
L
W
D
L
