1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.81
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lyngby an expected 1.8 goals and Aarhus GF an expected 1.3 goals. Lyngby have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Aarhus GF at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.7%
2:0
7%
1:2
7%
2:2
6.3%
0:1
5.7%
3:1
5.7%
0:0
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Lyngby at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Aarhus GF Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Lyngby
L
D
Aarhus GF
D
L
W
D
L
Head to Head
Aarhus
2 : 1
Lyngby
L
Lyngby
0 : 0
Aarhus
D
Lyngby
0 : 2
Aarhus
W