Lillestrøm vs Kristiansund BK Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 20 May 2026 · Eliteserien
1 48%
Home Win 2.09
X 24%
Draw 4.22
2 28%
Away Win 3.52
xG Home 1.72
xG Away 1.28
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lillestrøm an expected 1.7 goals and Kristiansund BK an expected 1.3 goals. Lillestrøm have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Kristiansund BK at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.6%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lillestrøm Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Lillestrøm at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
Kristiansund BK Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lillestrøm
L W W L
Kristiansund BK
L L D

Head to Head

09 Jul 2025 NM Cupen
Lillestrom 2 : 0 Kristiansund BK
L
04 Aug 2024 Eliteserien
Kristiansund BK 2 : 1 Lillestrom
L
01 Apr 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom 2 : 3 Kristiansund BK
W