1
36%
Home Win
2.81
X
26%
Draw
3.9
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HamKam an expected 1.3 goals and Molde an expected 1.4 goals. HamKam have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Molde at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
9.2%
1:0
8.7%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
6.6%
0:2
6.4%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
5.6%
1:3
3.9%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Molde Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| HamKam | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 37 | Points | 39 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
HamKam at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Molde Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
HamKam
L
W
W
W
Molde
W
D
L
W
D