1
45%
Home Win
2.22
X
26%
Draw
3.79
2
29%
Away Win
3.5
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.4 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.1 goals. Fredrikstad have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.8%
2:0
8.3%
0:0
8.1%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
4.8%
3:1
4.3%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fredrikstad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 42 | Points | 41 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Fredrikstad at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fredrikstad
L
L
Sarpsborg 08
D
D
L
L
