1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.4 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.1 goals. Fredrikstad have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.5%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.7%
2:0
8.3%
0:0
8%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.3%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fredrikstad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 42 | Points | 41 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Fredrikstad at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Fredrikstad
D
L
L
Sarpsborg 08
D
D
D
L
L
