Rosenborg BK vs Tromsø IL Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · Eliteserien
1 34%
Home Win 2.98
X 26%
Draw 3.78
2 40%
Away Win 2.5
xG Home 1.22
xG Away 1.36
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rosenborg BK an expected 1.2 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.4 goals. Rosenborg BK have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Tromsø IL at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.6%
0:1 10.3%
1:0 9.3%
1:2 8.5%
2:1 7.7%
0:0 7.6%
0:2 7%
2:0 5.7%
2:2 5.2%
1:3 3.9%
0:3 3.2%
3:1 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tromsø IL Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Rosenborg BK Tromsø IL
6 League Position 3
42 Points 57
37% Win % 60%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2

Venue Form

Rosenborg BK at Home
W4 D1 L0 (5 games)
80% win rate
Tromsø IL Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

Rosenborg BK
W W W W D
Tromsø IL
L W W D W