1
34%
Home Win
2.97
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
43%
Away Win
2.35
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.4 goals and Monterrey an expected 1.6 goals. León FC have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Monterrey at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
7.8%
0:1
7.5%
1:0
6.6%
2:2
6.4%
0:2
6.2%
1:3
4.9%
2:0
4.7%
0:0
4.6%
3:1
3.7%
2:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| León FC | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 13 |
| 22 | Points | 18 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
León FC at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Monterrey Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
León FC
L
L
W
Monterrey
L