1
39%
Home Win
2.57
X
21%
Draw
4.74
2
40%
Away Win
2.5
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.95
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
73%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.9 goals and FC Juarez an expected 1.9 goals. León FC have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and FC Juarez at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
7.8%
1:2
7.6%
2:1
7.5%
2:2
7.3%
1:3
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
2:3
4.7%
3:2
4.7%
0:1
4.1%
1:0
4%
0:2
4%
2:0
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Juarez Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| León FC | FC Juarez | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 12 |
| 22 | Points | 19 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
León FC at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
FC Juarez Away
W0
D0
L4
(4 games)
Recent Form
León FC
W
L
L
W
FC Juarez
L
L
L
L
