1
35%
Home Win
2.85
X
22%
Draw
4.45
2
42%
Away Win
2.36
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.6 goals and Atletico San Luis an expected 1.8 goals. León FC have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Atletico San Luis at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.5%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
7.7%
2:2
7%
0:1
5.9%
1:0
5.3%
0:2
5.3%
1:3
5.1%
2:0
4.3%
3:1
4.2%
2:3
4.2%
3:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atletico San Luis Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| León FC | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 14 |
| 22 | Points | 18 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
León FC at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Atletico San Luis Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
León FC
L
L
W
Atletico San Luis
L
W
