1
33%
Home Win
3.04
X
28%
Draw
3.51
2
39%
Away Win
2.59
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.1 goals and Atlas an expected 1.2 goals. León FC have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Atlas at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.3%
1:0
11.1%
0:0
10.2%
1:2
7.9%
0:2
7.3%
2:1
7.2%
2:0
6%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
3.2%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | León FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| León FC | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 6 |
| 22 | Points | 26 |
| 41% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
León FC at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Atlas Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
León FC
L
L
W
Atlas
W
L
W
W
Head to Head
Leon
2 : 0
Atlas
L
Atlas
2 : 0
Leon
L
Atlas
1 : 2
Leon
W
