1
42%
Home Win
2.35
X
30%
Draw
3.35
2
28%
Away Win
3.61
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Legia Warszawa an expected 1.2 goals and Widzew Łódź an expected 0.9 goals. Legia Warszawa have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Widzew Łódź at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.9%
1:1
13.3%
0:0
12.7%
0:1
11.3%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
5%
2:2
3.5%
3:0
3.4%
3:1
3.1%
1:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Legia Warszawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Legia Warszawa | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 14 |
| 49 | Points | 42 |
| 35% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Legia Warszawa at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Widzew Łódź Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Legia Warszawa
W
W
Widzew Łódź
D
L
L
L