Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 49%
Home Win 2.02
X 26%
Draw 3.88
2 25%
Away Win 4.03
xG Home 1.52
xG Away 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Legia Warszawa an expected 1.5 goals and Motor Lublin an expected 1.0 goals. Legia Warszawa have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Motor Lublin at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.3%
1:1 12.2%
2:0 9.3%
2:1 9.3%
0:0 8.1%
0:1 8%
1:2 6.1%
3:0 4.7%
3:1 4.7%
2:2 4.6%
0:2 4%
3:2 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Legia Warszawa Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Legia Warszawa Motor Lublin
6 League Position 12
49 Points 43
35% Win % 29%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Legia Warszawa at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Motor Lublin Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Legia Warszawa
W
Motor Lublin
D W L

Head to Head

01 Dec 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin 1 : 1 Legia Warszawa
D
10 Mar 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin 3 : 3 Legia Warszawa
D
01 Sep 2024 Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa 5 : 2 Motor Lublin
L