1
49%
Home Win
2.02
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
25%
Away Win
4.03
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Legia Warszawa an expected 1.5 goals and Motor Lublin an expected 1.0 goals. Legia Warszawa have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Motor Lublin at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.3%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
9.3%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.1%
0:1
8%
1:2
6.1%
3:0
4.7%
3:1
4.7%
2:2
4.6%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Legia Warszawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Legia Warszawa | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 49 | Points | 43 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Legia Warszawa at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Motor Lublin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Legia Warszawa
W
Motor Lublin
D
W
L
Head to Head
Motor Lublin
1 : 1
Legia Warszawa
D
Motor Lublin
3 : 3
Legia Warszawa
D
Legia Warszawa
5 : 2
Motor Lublin
L