Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 54%
Home Win 1.85
X 25%
Draw 4.01
2 21%
Away Win 4.78
xG Home 1.61
xG Away 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 1.6 goals and Wisla Plock an expected 0.9 goals. Lech Poznan have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Wisla Plock at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.1%
1:1 11.8%
2:0 10.6%
2:1 9.5%
0:0 8.2%
0:1 7.3%
3:0 5.7%
1:2 5.3%
3:1 5.1%
2:2 4.2%
0:2 3.3%
4:0 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lech Poznan Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Lech Poznan Wisla Plock
1 League Position 8
60 Points 46
47% Win % 35%
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Lech Poznan at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Wisla Plock Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Lech Poznan
D W
Wisla Plock
W L W

Head to Head

30 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock 0 : 0 Lech Poznan
D
11 Feb 2023 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock 0 : 1 Lech Poznan
W