1
57%
Home Win
1.75
X
20%
Draw
5
2
23%
Away Win
4.39
xG Home
2.24
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 2.2 goals and Radomiak Radom an expected 1.4 goals. Lech Poznan have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Radomiak Radom at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
1:1
8.3%
3:1
7%
2:0
6.8%
2:2
6.4%
1:0
6%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
5.1%
3:2
4.8%
4:1
3.9%
0:1
3.7%
2:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Lech Poznan | Radomiak Radom | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 10 |
| 60 | Points | 44 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Lech Poznan at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Radomiak Radom Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
W
D
W
Radomiak Radom
D
D
W
