1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
22%
Draw
4.57
2
21%
Away Win
4.71
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 1.9 goals and Piast Gliwice an expected 1.1 goals. Lech Poznan have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Piast Gliwice at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.2%
2:0
8.9%
3:1
6.4%
3:0
5.8%
1:2
5.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:1
5.2%
0:0
4.7%
3:2
3.6%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Lech Poznan | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 15 |
| 60 | Points | 41 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Lech Poznan at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Piast Gliwice Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
D
W
Piast Gliwice
L
D
D
L
