1
44%
Home Win
2.28
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
33%
Away Win
3.04
xG Home
1.74
xG Away
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 1.7 goals and Jagiellonia an expected 1.5 goals. Lech Poznan have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Jagiellonia at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9%
1:2
7.6%
1:0
7%
2:2
6.6%
2:0
6.1%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.2%
0:2
4.4%
0:0
4%
3:2
3.8%
1:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 60 | Points | 56 |
| 47% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Lech Poznan at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Jagiellonia Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
D
W
Jagiellonia
W
W
W
