1
68%
Home Win
1.48
X
22%
Draw
4.62
2
11%
Away Win
9.34
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lazio an expected 1.8 goals and Pisa an expected 0.5 goals. Lazio have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Pisa at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.2%
2:0
15.4%
0:0
9.6%
1:1
9.5%
3:0
9.2%
2:1
8.5%
0:1
5.3%
3:1
5.1%
4:0
4.1%
1:2
2.6%
2:2
2.3%
4:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lazio Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Lazio | Pisa | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 20 |
| 54 | Points | 18 |
| 37% | Win % | 5% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.68 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.87 |
Venue Form
Lazio at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Pisa Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lazio
L
D
Pisa
L
L
Head to Head
Pisa
0 : 0
Lazio
D
