1
27%
Home Win
3.65
X
31%
Draw
3.2
2
41%
Away Win
2.42
xG Home
0.83
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Larisa an expected 0.8 goals and Atromitos an expected 1.1 goals. Larisa have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Atromitos at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.1%
0:2
8.7%
1:2
7.2%
2:1
5.5%
2:0
5%
0:3
3.2%
2:2
3%
1:3
2.6%
3:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atromitos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Larisa | Atromitos | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 9 |
| 23 | Points | 29 |
| 15% | Win % | 27% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |