Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Kyoto Sanga
  • Gamba Osaka 2–2 Kyoto Sanga
  • Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kyoto Sanga
  • Kyoto Sanga 2–3 Kashiwa Reysol
  • FC Tokyo 2–0 Kyoto Sanga
  • Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 2–1 JEF United Chiba
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka
  • Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Kyoto Sanga 38 · Shimizu S-Pulse 38. Data saved: 2026-10-31 02:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Kyoto Sanga 57% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.97
Model goal expectation · 2 0.88
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Kyoto Sanga 1.97 · Shimizu S-Pulse 0.88.
1 63% · X 21% · 2 16%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 11.4%
2:0 11.3%
1:1 10%
2:1 9.9%
3:0 7.4%
3:1 6.5%
0:0 5.8%
0:1 5.1%
1:2 4.4%
2:2 4.3%
4:0 3.7%
4:1 3.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Kyoto Sanga Win
Probability 63%
Predicted Odds 1.59

Team Comparison

Kyoto Sanga Shimizu S-Pulse
3 League Position 14
68 Points 44
50% Win % 29%
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34

Venue Form

Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Shimizu S-Pulse Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Kyoto Sanga
D W L L W
Shimizu S-Pulse
L W W L L

Head to Head

02 May 2026 j1
Kyoto Sanga 1 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
L