Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo — Prediction

Fagiano Okayama

1 – 0

Most likely score (model)

Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · J1 League

Open Match Centre

Score · Lineups · Live stats

FC Tokyo

Match information

Scheduled

Kickoff: 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
Competition: J1 League

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Fagiano Okayama

2026-10-25 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Fagiano Okayama
2026-09-19 Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kyoto Sanga
2026-09-13 Urawa 1–2 Fagiano Okayama
2026-09-06 Fagiano Okayama 3–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-06-06 Urawa 0–2 Fagiano Okayama

FC Tokyo

2026-10-25 FC Tokyo 6–0 Mito Hollyhock
2026-09-19 FC Tokyo 1–0 Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Gamba Osaka 0–2 FC Tokyo
2026-09-06 FC Tokyo 2–0 Kyoto Sanga
2026-06-06 FC Tokyo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka

Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Fagiano Okayama 38 · FC Tokyo 38. Data saved: 2026-10-31 02:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Fagiano Okayama 35% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.02

Model goal expectation · 2 0.94

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

BTTS 39%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Fagiano Okayama 1.02 · FC Tokyo 0.94.
1 36% · X 31% · 2 32%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.3%

0:0 14.1%

1:1 13.5%

0:1 13.3%

2:0 7.3%

2:1 6.9%

1:2 6.4%

0:2 6.3%

2:2 3.2%

3:0 2.5%

3:1 2.3%

1:3 2%

About this assessment

Model outcome	Fagiano Okayama Win
Probability	36%
Predicted Odds	2.78

Team Comparison

Fagiano Okayama		FC Tokyo
13	League Position	11
45	Points	50
32%	Win %	34%
0.89	Avg Goals Scored	1.08
1.13	Avg Goals Conceded	1.26

Venue Form

Fagiano Okayama at Home

W1 D0 L1 (2 games)

50% win rate

FC Tokyo Away

W1 D0 L0 (1 games)

100% win rate

Recent Form

Fagiano Okayama

L L W W W

FC Tokyo

W W W W L

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Sat 31 Oct --:-- Tip: 1 · 63%

Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 31 Oct --:-- Tip: 1 · 44%

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus

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