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Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka — Prediction

Kashima Kashima
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Kashima
  • Kashima 2–3 Kashiwa Reysol
  • Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Kashima
  • Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kashima
  • Kashima 0–1 Urawa
  • Kashima 2–0 Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka 2–2 JEF United Chiba
  • V-Varen Nagasaki 1–1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Tokyo Verdy
  • FC Tokyo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Kashima 38 · Cerezo Osaka 38. Data saved: 2026-10-31 02:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Kashima 44% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 62%
Home Win 1.61
X 21%
Draw 4.86
2 17%
Away Win 5.74
Model goal expectation · 1 2.06
Model goal expectation · 2 0.99
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 55%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Kashima 2.06 · Cerezo Osaka 0.99.
1 62% · X 21% · 2 17%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 10%
2:1 9.9%
1:0 9.7%
1:1 9.6%
3:0 6.9%
3:1 6.8%
2:2 4.9%
1:2 4.8%
0:0 4.7%
0:1 4.7%
4:0 3.5%
4:1 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Kashima Win
Probability 62%
Predicted Odds 1.61

Team Comparison

Kashima Cerezo Osaka
1 League Position 10
76 Points 52
61% Win % 37%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Kashima at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Cerezo Osaka Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Kashima
L D L L W
Cerezo Osaka
D D L D W

More J1 League Predictions

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa
Sat 31 Oct Tip: 1 · 52%
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
Sat 31 Oct Tip: 1 · 57%