Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar Prediction

0 – 2
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.76
xG Away 2.43
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Krylya Sovetov an expected 0.8 goals and Krasnodar an expected 2.4 goals. Krylya Sovetov have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Krasnodar at 74%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 12.1%
0:1 10%
0:3 9.8%
1:2 9.2%
1:1 7.6%
1:3 7.5%
0:4 6%
1:4 4.6%
0:0 4.1%
2:2 3.5%
1:0 3.1%
2:1 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Krasnodar Win
Probability 74%
Predicted Odds 1.35
Market Odds 1.44

Team Comparison

Krylya Sovetov Krasnodar
11 League Position 2
32 Points 66
27% Win % 67%
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77

Venue Form

Krylya Sovetov at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Krasnodar Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Krylya Sovetov
W D
Krasnodar
D