1
10%
Home Win
10.27
X
16%
Draw
6.24
2
74%
Away Win
1.35
xG Home
0.76
xG Away
2.43
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Krylya Sovetov an expected 0.8 goals and Krasnodar an expected 2.4 goals. Krylya Sovetov have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Krasnodar at 74%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
12.1%
0:1
10%
0:3
9.8%
1:2
9.2%
1:1
7.6%
1:3
7.5%
0:4
6%
1:4
4.6%
0:0
4.1%
2:2
3.5%
1:0
3.1%
2:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| Krylya Sovetov | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 2 |
| 32 | Points | 66 |
| 27% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
