Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.37
xG Away 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Krasnodar an expected 1.4 goals and Fakel Voronezh an expected 1.0 goals. Krasnodar have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Fakel Voronezh at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.8%
1:0 12.6%
0:1 9.3%
0:0 9.2%
2:1 8.8%
2:0 8.6%
1:2 6.5%
0:2 4.7%
2:2 4.5%
3:1 4%
3:0 3.9%
1:3 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Krasnodar Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Venue Form

Krasnodar at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Fakel Voronezh Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Krasnodar
D W
Fakel Voronezh
L L L

Head to Head

30 Mar 2025 Premier League
FC Krasnodar 5 : 0 Fakel
L
04 Aug 2024 Premier League
Fakel 0 : 0 FC Krasnodar
D
19 Apr 2024 Premier League
Krasnodar 2 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
L