1
39%
Home Win
2.56
X
30%
Draw
3.33
2
31%
Away Win
3.24
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.1 goals and Widzew Łódź an expected 1.0 goals. Korona Kielce have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Widzew Łódź at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12.5%
0:1
12%
2:0
7.8%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
6.5%
0:2
5.8%
2:2
3.6%
3:0
2.9%
3:1
2.8%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Korona Kielce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Korona Kielce | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 14 |
| 43 | Points | 42 |
| 32% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Korona Kielce at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Widzew Łódź Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Korona Kielce
W
D
D
Widzew Łódź
L
L
L
