1
33%
Home Win
3
X
28%
Draw
3.52
2
38%
Away Win
2.61
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.1 goals and Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.2 goals. Korona Kielce have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Raków Częstochowa at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.1%
1:0
11.1%
0:0
10.1%
1:2
7.9%
0:2
7.2%
2:1
7.2%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
3.2%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Raków Częstochowa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Korona Kielce | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 43 | Points | 55 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Korona Kielce at Home
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Raków Częstochowa Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Korona Kielce
L
D
W
D
D
Raków Częstochowa
L
W
