1
46%
Home Win
2.19
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
28%
Away Win
3.56
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.4 goals and Motor Lublin an expected 1.1 goals. Korona Kielce have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Motor Lublin at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.6%
2:0
8.4%
0:0
8%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Korona Kielce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Korona Kielce | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 12 |
| 43 | Points | 43 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Korona Kielce at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Motor Lublin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Korona Kielce
W
D
D
Motor Lublin
D
W
L
