1
35%
Home Win
2.84
X
31%
Draw
3.24
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
1.01
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.0 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 1.0 goals. Korona Kielce have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Legia Warszawa at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
0:0
13.6%
1:1
13.5%
0:1
13.4%
2:0
7%
2:1
6.8%
1:2
6.7%
0:2
6.6%
2:2
3.4%
3:0
2.3%
3:1
2.3%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Korona Kielce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Korona Kielce | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 49 |
| 32% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Korona Kielce at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Legia Warszawa Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Korona Kielce
W
D
D
Legia Warszawa
W
W
L
W
