Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 46%
Home Win 2.19
X 26%
Draw 3.81
2 28%
Away Win 3.56
xG Home 1.45
xG Away 1.08
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.5 goals and Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.1 goals. Jagiellonia have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Zaglebie Lubin at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.5%
1:0 11.5%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.6%
2:0 8.4%
0:0 7.9%
1:2 6.7%
2:2 4.9%
0:2 4.6%
3:1 4.4%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jagiellonia Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Jagiellonia Zaglebie Lubin
3 League Position 7
56 Points 48
44% Win % 38%
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Jagiellonia at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Zaglebie Lubin Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Jagiellonia
W L
Zaglebie Lubin
W

Head to Head

30 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Lubin 0 : 0 Jagiellonia
D
11 Jul 2025 Friendlies Clubs
Jagiellonia 0 : 1 Zaglebie Lubin
W
21 Apr 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia 1 : 3 Zaglebie Lubin
W