1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
24%
Away Win
4.21
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.6 goals and Widzew Łódź an expected 1.0 goals. Jagiellonia have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Widzew Łódź at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.2%
1:1
12%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
9.4%
0:0
7.8%
0:1
7.7%
1:2
5.9%
3:0
5%
3:1
4.9%
2:2
4.6%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jagiellonia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Jagiellonia | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 14 |
| 56 | Points | 42 |
| 44% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Jagiellonia at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Widzew Łódź Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
W
L
Widzew Łódź
D
L
L
L
