1
55%
Home Win
1.83
X
23%
Draw
4.44
2
23%
Away Win
4.41
xG Home
1.87
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.9 goals and Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.1 goals. Jagiellonia have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Pogoń Szczecin at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.3%
2:0
8.7%
3:1
6.1%
1:2
5.9%
0:1
5.6%
2:2
5.6%
3:0
5.4%
0:0
5%
3:2
3.5%
0:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jagiellonia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Jagiellonia | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 56 | Points | 45 |
| 44% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Jagiellonia at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
W
L
Pogoń Szczecin
W
L
D
