1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
27%
Draw
3.73
2
27%
Away Win
3.72
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.4 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 1.0 goals. Jagiellonia have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Legia Warszawa at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
12.5%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.9%
2:0
8.9%
0:0
8.9%
1:2
6.4%
2:2
4.5%
0:2
4.5%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
4.2%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jagiellonia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Jagiellonia | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 56 | Points | 49 |
| 44% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Jagiellonia at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Legia Warszawa Away
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
W
W
L
Legia Warszawa
W
W
W
L
W
