1
51%
Home Win
1.98
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
24%
Away Win
4.22
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.5 goals and Korona Kielce an expected 1.0 goals. Jagiellonia have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Korona Kielce at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.7%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
9.7%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.3%
0:1
8%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
2:2
4.5%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jagiellonia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Jagiellonia | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 11 |
| 56 | Points | 43 |
| 44% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Jagiellonia at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Korona Kielce Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
W
L
Korona Kielce
L
L
Head to Head
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Jagiellonia
D
Jagiellonia
3 : 1
Korona Kielce
L
Korona Kielce
3 : 1
Jagiellonia
L
