1
38%
Home Win
2.63
X
29%
Draw
3.48
2
33%
Away Win
3.01
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Istra 1961 an expected 1.2 goals and HNK Gorica an expected 1.1 goals. Istra 1961 have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and HNK Gorica at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.4%
0:1
11.4%
0:0
10.6%
2:1
7.8%
2:0
7.3%
1:2
7.2%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3.1%
3:0
2.8%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Istra 1961 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Istra 1961 | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 8 |
| 43 | Points | 41 |
| 33% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
Istra 1961 at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
HNK Gorica Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Istra 1961
W
HNK Gorica
L
