IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 · Allsvenskan
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.54
xG Away 1.14
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives IF Elfsborg an expected 1.5 goals and Vasteras SK FK an expected 1.1 goals. IF Elfsborg have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Vasteras SK FK at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.6%
2:1 9.3%
2:0 8.1%
0:1 7.8%
0:0 6.9%
1:2 6.9%
2:2 5.3%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick IF Elfsborg Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Venue Form

IF Elfsborg at Home
W4 D2 L2 (8 games)
50% win rate
Vasteras SK FK Away
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

IF Elfsborg
W L L D W
Vasteras SK FK
W D W L W