1
39%
Home Win
2.56
X
21%
Draw
4.76
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
1.95
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
73%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives IF Elfsborg an expected 1.9 goals and Sirius an expected 2.0 goals. IF Elfsborg have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Sirius at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
7.7%
1:2
7.6%
2:1
7.5%
2:2
7.3%
1:3
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
2:3
4.8%
3:2
4.7%
0:1
4%
1:0
4%
0:2
3.9%
2:0
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sirius Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| IF Elfsborg | Sirius | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
IF Elfsborg at Home
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Sirius Away
W5
D1
L1
(7 games)
Recent Form
IF Elfsborg
L
L
D
W
D
Sirius
W
W
W
W
D
Head to Head
IF Elfsborg
1 : 2
Sirius
W
Sirius
4 : 0
IF Elfsborg
L
IF Elfsborg
4 : 3
Sirius
L
