1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives IF Elfsborg an expected 1.3 goals and Malmö FF an expected 1.7 goals. IF Elfsborg have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Malmö FF at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
1:2
9.4%
0:1
8.9%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7%
1:0
6.6%
2:2
5.9%
1:3
5.3%
0:0
5.2%
0:3
4.3%
2:0
4.1%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | IF Elfsborg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| IF Elfsborg | Malmö FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 6 |
| 40 | Points | 49 |
| 40% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
IF Elfsborg at Home
W4
D2
L2
(8 games)
Malmö FF Away
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
IF Elfsborg
W
L
L
D
W
Malmö FF
L
D
W
L
W
Head to Head
Malmo FF
1 : 2
IF Elfsborg
W
IF Elfsborg
2 : 2
Malmo FF
D
Malmo FF
2 : 1
IF Elfsborg
L
