Hull City vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Hull City Hull City
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Hull City an expected 1.5 goals and Middlesbrough an expected 1.2 goals. Hull City have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Middlesbrough at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Middlesbrough Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Hull City Middlesbrough
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Hull City at Home
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate
Middlesbrough Away
W0 D3 L1 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Hull City
D W D L
Middlesbrough
L D D D

Head to Head

29 Dec 2025 Championship
Middlesbrough 0 : 1 Hull City
W
05 Dec 2025 Championship
Hull City 1 : 4 Middlesbrough
W
01 Jan 2025 Championship
Hull City 0 : 1 Middlesbrough
W