1
31%
Home Win
3.24
X
25%
Draw
4.08
2
45%
Away Win
2.24
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hull City an expected 1.3 goals and Middlesbrough an expected 1.6 goals. Hull City have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Middlesbrough at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:2
9.2%
0:1
8.9%
2:1
7.4%
1:0
7.2%
0:2
7.1%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.6%
1:3
4.9%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Middlesbrough Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Hull City | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 73 | Points | 80 |
| 46% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
Venue Form
Hull City at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Middlesbrough Away
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Hull City
D
W
D
L
Middlesbrough
W
L
D
D
D
Head to Head
Middlesbrough
0 : 1
Hull City
W
Hull City
1 : 4
Middlesbrough
W
Hull City
0 : 1
Middlesbrough
W
